Tuesday, March 07, 2006

Howard Dean, Meet Jane Roe

There's been a rash of stories lately about Democratic disarray and the party's fruitless search for unity and a message in the run-up to the midterm elections this November. For certain New York Times and Washington Post reporters, it has become something of a cottage industry. This type of media coverage, rife with dubious conventional wisdom, clichés, and quotes from anonymous D.C. insider sources, is as irritating as is it typical. Nonetheless (and perhaps most irritating of all), the reports that Democrats lack clarity and focus are generally true.

What was once a proud party that unabashedly advanced environmentalism, the anti-poverty programs of the New Deal and Great Society, and a woman's right to choose is now stuck cowering in fear of the Karl Rove machine. As Iraq so plainly demonstrates, Democrats are uncomfortable taking a firm stand on just about anything, no matter how much the public agrees with them.

But you've all heard this criticism before. If you're reading this, it means that you read blogs, so chances are high that you've read many an exhortation for Democratic spinal fortitude. So why is this relevant now, you ask? Just look at South Dakota, where abortion was declared illegal on Monday.

Poll after poll after poll has shown that vast majorities of Americans support Roe vs. Wade. Less than two months ago, a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll found that 66% of Americans want to uphold the landmark 1973 ruling, while just 25% would like to see it overturned. No matter how anti-choice activists spin it, there's a consensus in this country that safe and legal abortion should be defended and preserved. Despite this, Democrats have treated abortion rights as a losing political issue, internalizing the criticism of the radical right-wing lobby.

After the passage of the South Dakota law, Republicans with presidential ambitions, including supposed moderates like John McCain and Mitt Romney, have been falling all over themselves to endorse it. Democrats, meanwhile, seem caught off guard and afraid to talk about it until James Carville sends them their weekly, centrist talking points. While Republicans wear their opposition to abortion on their sleeves, Democrats often seem uncomfortable discussing the issue. Furthermore, when they do discuss it, they stray away from firm language in favor of nuance; much like John Kerry did in 2004. Nuanced views, however, not only leave pro-choice voters unsure and unenthused but also fail to win over any anti-choicers, who see little grey area when it comes to fetuses.

Sadly, the Democrats feel they have reason to fear, no matter what the polling numbers are. After all, the anti-choice crowd has proven time and time again that they are organized, single-minded, and devoted to criminalizing abortion. Backers of a woman's right to choose, however, have been taking Roe vs. Wade for granted. With a majority of Americans voting for George W. Bush in 2004, one can only conclude that a large number of pro-choicers cast a ballot for a man who would make a coat hanger a gynecological instrument. Anti-choicers, meanwhile, will almost unanimously back anti-abortion politicians even if costs them their Social Security checks.

History provides us with numerous examples in which a radical, zealous minority has been able to achieve its aims despite its numbers. These minorities win not because of public support, but because the opposition is lackadaisical, inattentive, and insufficiently committed to defending its values.

Although I doubt it, such a scenario could play out in America, whereby a motivated and organized quarter of the population forces its warped concept of morality on the masses. For the majority to prevail, it will take a renewed commitment to Roe created by a climate of insecurity that forces voters to take their pro-choice stances more seriously. That's where the Democrats come in.

The conventional wisdom on Bill Clinton's victory in 1992 holds that economic uncertainty and the candidacy of Ross Perot propelled the Arkansas Democrat into the Oval Office. While I do not disagree with this analysis, I think that the role of abortion in the election must be seriously considered. In the backdrop of the election was a Supreme Court in a defining transitional period, grassroots anti-choice activism that climaxed with 1991's "Summer of Mercy," and a Republican base that was itching badly to see serious abortion restrictions after twelve years of Republican control of the executive. All over our culture, abortion seemed at the forefront of the political debate. These factors resulted in a revived pro-choice movement, one that suddenly saw its greatest surge in activism since the 1970's. Entertainers and media figures spoke out on the issue frequently, and an abortion rights rally in 1992 drew nearly one million people to the National Mall in D.C.

Guess what the result at the ballot box was? Women voters and candidates were so mobilized in 1992 that the election was dubbed the "Year of the Woman" in politics. With his huge victory, Bill Clinton was no doubt a beneficiary of this, winning a large majority of women with his pro-choice stance. As Democrats focus on 1994 as a precedent for taking over Congress, perhaps they should also examine the lessons of 1992.

With the mobilization of pro-choice voters in 1992 in mind, Democrats must not hesitate to make support for abortion rights central to their campaigns. The problem in the past has not been that Democrats have been too loud in their support for abortion rights-- it's that they've been too quiet. When abortion is a major issue in a campaign, one that energizes and engages voters, Democrats will benefit. Anti-choice voters are always energized over abortion, so whipping up pro-choice sentiment will not cause any more of them to turnout.

Instead of talking meekly about supporting abortion rights although personally opposing the procedure, instead of talking about wanting to find common ground and reduce the number of abortions, Democrats should be stridently and unapologetically pro-choice. No matter how well-intentioned such language is, it's unnecessary. Democrats should use the rhetoric of coat hangers and back alleys, and talk about not wanting the female genitalia to become the property of state, overseen by Dick Cheney and James Dobson. And they should talk about abortion all the time.

The events that have transpired in the past week in the Great Plains should cause Howard Dean, Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid and Rahm Emmanuel to drop to their knees and thank Gawd. They've been searching for winning issues for months, and the South Dakota legislature and Gov. Mike Rounds just dropped one on their laps. By banning abortion, South Dakotans have created a great political opportunity both for Democrats and for defenders of a woman's right to choose. This is not just an opportunity to build the Democratic Party, but also an opportunity to further the pro-choice movement in general, which will always win when it can mobilize voters. It's a win-win situation for Democrats and women alike. The South Dakota GOP has decided to bring the abortion battle to the forefront of media and society, and now is the time for pro-choice Americans to hunker down in the trenches and fight back-- hard.

9 Comments:

Blogger chad said...

You're absolutely right. They need to distinguish themselves on so many issues from the Republicans, like the environment and abortion. I think I heard somewhere that 79 million eligible voters did not vote in the last election. Imagine how many votes the Democrats could have gotten from them if they had stuck to their principles instead of wallowing in the middle.

2:45 AM  
Anonymous Josh said...

So, I think you're a little off here.

I mean you're right on a lot of things...I just don't think you're completely grasping their impact on the larger political context.

First, the things where I find you correct.

1992 was a good year for women, and the pro-choice movement in general. California's two senators come to mind, both passionately pro-choice, Feinstein and Boxer. They were each elected that year. Bill Clinton was also a setback to the RNC agenda of Pat Buchanan hoping to extend a South Dakota-style decision nationwide.

You are also right that most Americans favor upholding Roe.

Having said that, you need to keep in mind that the vast swath of the country most of us never visit, and would never care to visit, while sparsely populated, does hold electoral votes that make a difference- as we found out in 2000. And in these places, they are also far more likely to be ardently religious, and far less likely to be pro-choice.

So you have to consider the sources driving each movement. On the anti-choice side, you have fundie-Christians. On our side you have secular organizations. (NARAL for instance) In middle-America they're going to trust and respect the views of their faith more-so than a D.C. based lobbying group.

Of course, congressional elections have nothing to do with electoral votes, but the republicans have gerrymandered the districts to the point that the representatives have a greater chance of being thrown out in a primary by an opposing member of their own party than by a Democrat. And they'll probably talk about corruption, and inept execution of the conservative agenda more than an actual reversal in ideological policy positions.

Further, you need to recognize that many of that 66 percent who favor Roe v. Wade, DON'T personally support abortion. Like me, and Kerry, and all who espouse that exact view. It's an inherently nuanced issue. Although we are pro-choice in the broader sense of the term, we are not advocates of abortion, per-se. It would be impossible for us to fake being passionate about something we consider to be morally abhorrent in and of itself, even if denying someone the ability to decide for themselves is equally abhorrent. Neither are appealing ideas.

The "pro-life" people have no such dichotomous qualms and are therfore far more apt to be mobilized to vote on this one issue alone.

Most people agree with Roe v. Wade. But most people agree with it the way Bill Clinton termed it- "abortions in this country should be safe, legal and rare."

So the strategy of just hammering the topic home I dont believe would be responded to the way you might first assume...even if most people concur with our stance.

5:51 PM  
Blogger thepoetryman said...

Abortions should be safe, legal, and rare... the thing about this reasonable stance is that if Roe vs Wade is overturned abortions would again return to unsafe, illegal, and more frequent. That is the law of the vacuum. clickety clack

12:02 AM  
Blogger Joe said...

Interesting points, Josh. Your mindset is basically the one I set out to refute when I wrote this.

"In middle-America they're going to trust and respect the views of their faith more-so than a D.C. based lobbying group."

Sounds exactly like a weekly RNC talking points memo. My point is that even in "middle America," there's usually a majority for abortion rights. Even South Dakotans are pretty evenly split themselves. And if the law actually takes effect (which it almost certainly won't), and the reality set in that you couldn't actually get a safe abortion, people would turn against it. Only the really extremist states like Utah have a sizeable majority against Roe vs. Wade.

In all the places where Democrats can pick up seats, there's support for abortion rights. I think in a way you missed the point of what I was saying-- the anti-choicers will turn out to vote Republican no matter what the Dem says about abortion. The trick is getting pro-choice swing voters (of which there are many), excited about voting Democratic.

"Although we are pro-choice in the broader sense of the term, we are not advocates of abortion, per-se."

Catholics such as yourself are not unique to this viewpoint. No one actually likes abortion, for chrissakes, and we'd all like to see the numbers reduced. But my point is that we needn't bother saying this. When Kerry tried to say he was personally opposed to abortion, it didn't make him look reasonable and faithful, as he'd hoped. Instead, it played right into the image of him wanting it both ways, and successfully left pro-choice swing voters unsure and unexcited. When it comes to politics, never trust the voters to understand nuance. Sometimes they do, but generally they don't. Dems would be better off just saying simply, "I support the right to choose 100%. Women's bodies don't belong to Dick Cheney."

12:24 AM  
Anonymous Josh said...

Joe...

Unfortunately, I think you missed the point of what I WAS saying.

I understand not to trust "nuance" in voters. And neither should you. The fact of the matter is, RNC talking points or no, the VOTERS are nuanced on this subject.

Yes, most of the country continues to value a woman's right to choose- even in SD. I am aware of this. But the majority of those voters are "nuanced" in that they DON'T personally condone abortion. This makes them inherently different from the majority of anti-choice advocates, who see the matter in complete shades of black and white- not gray. None. These people say no abortion, PERIOD. As in South Dakota, the particularities of the circumstances matter very little to them. They just don't want it.

Us on the other hand, while supporting it like we do, have reservations about what is acceptable, and when, and in what cases. This makes us weaker, because there is no real consensus. The weaker the particular demographic is, the less unified, the less likely they are to mobilize under the mantra of this specific issue.

Pro-choicers are just not like anti-choicers, because pro-choicers support choice without the same fervor with which the other side hates it.

This points back to my supposed "GOP" memo. Which although it may well be, also happens to be true. Look at the source of what is "motivating the troops" so to speak. A so-called higher power, on one side, an openly liberal organization on the other. People are going to listen to their higher power, every time.

So, then, to count on "CHOICE" as an issue to rally around, would be as I see it, a mistake.

State that you are 100 percent pro-choice. Point out the other side wants to take that choice away. But fight your battle around Iraq, fight your battle around corruption, hurricane mis-management, what have you. These are uniformly unpopular by those who dislike them- once again, most of the country.

But don't focus your entire campaign, or even such a large portion, around perhaps the most fickle issue there is. It's too risky a bet to plan for people latching on and voting on our side because of it.

2:25 AM  
Blogger Joe said...

"Openly liberal?"

Do we have to come out of the closet, too? And then do we try to convert people to our sinful lifestyle? :-D

I'm joking, of course-- just thought your word choice was funny.

OK, I think I have a much better understanding of your point, thank you. As far as what the Democrats run on this fall, I'm totally with you on what you listed: Iraq, Katrina, corruption. (It seems like the Dems have finally gained the spine to campaign on Iraq, which is good to see, even if it only took them 4 years and a lot of blood.).

My point is that in addition to the themes of corruption, Iraq, Katrina, et al., Democrats shouldn't be afraid to campaign on abortion. I think history shows that when Americans think there's a concrete possibility of losing abortion rights, they stop taking it for granted and vote Democratic. Further, I don't think it will take a lot of spin for Dems to make the case that abortion is seriously under seige. So talk about Tom DeLay and civil war in Iraq-- just don't be afraid to proudly endorse choice. This will also help the pro-choice movement at large, and is just the right thing to do.

2:56 AM  
Anonymous Josh said...

Yes, I agree.....we should assert ourselves as completely pro-choice. Although I don't favor third trimester abortions, where the child actually has been proven survivable. In this circumstance, I only agree for the health of the mother.

But whether we like it or not, "liberal" has become an unpopular word with "mainstream" Americans. On the other side though, George W. Bush didn't openly run as a right-wing conservative either. He was a "compassionate."

Just political language masking political realities, but if the wrong word choice is attached to something, it leaves a negative connotation with the average voter.

10:17 AM  
Anonymous karena said...

I left a really long comment but I think I messed up and it did not post. In short, I agree with Joe. This issue needs to be hammered home. Voters need to be reminded of life pre-Roe vs. Wade. It was not pretty. Even staunch anti-abortionists enjoy secret, legal visits to the clinics when it is their family. Having the kiddo parade around church with the big belly poking out is more shameful then hauling her to the abortion clinic in secret. Remind the world what it will be like for rape victims, or families too poor to feed another mouth, and dead young women killed by coat hangers. Roe vs. Wade is in peril. Tennessee and Mississippi are looking to do what South Dakota did. States are wanting to take this to the SCOTUS, and we may be one Justice away from overturning Roe vs. Wade. One more religious zealot for President who is beholden to the evangelical vote and you can kiss Roe vs. Wade goodbye. Let's talk openly and loud. Voters never pick "nuanced" talk over "straight shooting." Shit, they pick Bush because he is a straight shooter even when every word out of his mouth is a lie.

6:27 AM  
Anonymous Witless for the prosecution said...

You just don't understand, Joe.

If they didn't ban abortion in Dakota then the people would have choices. That wouldn't be American. What do you think this is, the land of the free?

If pro-choice people win then the terrorists will have won.

I say ban all choices and let some nameless bureaucrat in Washington make all our choices for us. That will protect us.

12:40 PM  

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